![]() ![]() However, there is currently no way to know exactly how much the game has made selling on third-party sites or in bundles. We can use the ratio of reviews marked as purchased on Steam / Activated with a key, look for discrepancies in review ratios and playtime data, look for patterns in public Steam libraries that may indicate a game was purchased in a bundle, and use top seller rankings to help us deduce how many copies were sold directly through steam. Further more, it's pretty much impossible to know how the game has sold on 3rd-party sites. It can be hard to differentiate copies sold vs given away for free, and even harder to differentiate copies sold regularly and copies sold in bundles. Unfortunately, for some games, the situation is not that simple. This should give us the right ball-park for the vast majority of games. Luckily, I made a small algorithm that factors in discounts when calculating revenue based on games price history profile. We also want to know the revenue of the game, and sales and revenue do not have to be linearly correlated. However, this does not tells us the whole story. Here are the results after running a test: The median sales/review ratio is around 35. Taking the number of reviews and multiplying it by a constant number. Due to high error margins, we will ignore games that sold less than 1000 copies in our tests. This is an unbiased sample that contains games of various sizes, genres and years of release. To test the estimates, I collected this sample of around 120 games with public sales data and made a script that compares game sales to estimates on a given date. Using the number of concurrent players to estimate game's salesĪt the end, we will come to an algorithm that estimates sales and revenue much more accurately than the review based approach.Similar to how SteamSpy used to work before the Steam profile privacy change. Polling public steam profiles to estimate game ownership.Using the Steam's top seller rank to estimate revenue and sales.Mainly, we will look at the following estimation methods: In this article, we'll explore several methods of estimating game sales on Steam. How to accurately estimate Steam game sales ![]()
0 Comments
Leave a Reply. |
AuthorWrite something about yourself. No need to be fancy, just an overview. ArchivesCategories |